🐮☁️ Decarbonising food: we have a cow problem

Published on January 24, 2024

While investments are down in the FoodTech and ClimateTech sectors, one area at the intersection is doing well. Indeed, investments in startups seeking to decarbonise the food supply chain have increased significantly in 2022 and 2023. Today, let’s look at the reasons for such a success and the startups attracting all this money.

1 – Why are food decarbonisation startups doing so well?
First, there is the obvious elephant in the fridge: climate change. Indeed, after a slight decrease in 2020, meat production has rekindled its steady growth (about 3% per year).

 

And, as you can see on the opposite graph, if food is responsible for more than a quarter of all emissions, livestock and fish farming are the main contributors.
Another reason is the energy crisis, which increased the cost of agricultural inputs (and hence created an incentive to find solutions).

Finally, and most importantly, leading agrifood companies have all recently announced their “pledges” to reduce their impact, aiming to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. Better, they often plan to achieve a reduction of 30% to 50% (Nestlé or Mars) by 2030. These companies have a “cow problem”: the main challenge is reducing the impact of beef and dairy products as the world’s demand increases. Global leaders even announced a $200M+ alliance at COP28 to find solutions to lower methane emissions (quite noticeable in an industry usually dominated by intense competition).

In a word, there is now very strong pressure on these companies to find solutions to reduce emissions throughout their supply chain. It creates a huge incentive to invest in innovation, hoping to find the solutions that will enable those pledges to become a reality. Let’s look at how a food company can decarbonise its food supply chain.

2 – What are the solutions?
As we said, the challenge is in the complexity of the topic and the absence of a single and easy solution. While some praise the agricultural model of our forefathers, this can’t be a solution to feed the whole world. Below is DigitalFoodLab’s “easy map” to help you navigate it.

While it doesn’t include all the sub-categories and subtleties of detailed mapping, it shows that there are four broad areas that a leading agrifood company needs to address when considering how to decarbonise its  supply chain:

🧑‍🌾 Decarbonising agriculture through regenerative practices:

  • While we know “what should be done”, the challenge is to find solutions to measure and finance these practices. That’s why a growing number of startups are here to help farmers identify the most impactful practices to put in place, measure their impact, and then emit credit carbons to sell them to food companies. This is notably the case of Agreena, a Danish startup (and one of our Europe’s Top 50 list).
  • In our opinion, one of the most critical aspects is “measurement”: it’s easy to emit credit carbons, but if these companies want to build trust, they need to be able to prove that carbon was stored in the soil.

🐮 Decarbonising the animal:

  • This is the most “hype” category, with an impressive increase in startups (such as Volta GreenTech primarily working around feed additives, which are supposed to reduce the amounts of methane a cow emits by up to 80%. While this is still an early-stage space, it benefits from significant funding and public support (rare enough to be underlined). However, while it may appear as a silver bullet, it comes with its own challenges.
  • Changing what animals eat, notably by replacing it with insects, could be another partial solution and could contribute to reducing deforestation linked to animal farming.

🌾 Reducing chemical inputs: this space is the most mature, with various solutions, some of which are already in the industrialisation phase (such as Aphea.bio). While cost remains an issue, regulations on some pesticides (notably in Europe) pave the way for these startups.

🚀 Other solutions can be found by rethinking completely the system:

  • The most obvious example is to “replace” animal foods with other sources of proteins, either plants, fermentation, or more advanced technologies (such as cellular agriculture).
  • As we have seen above, the solutions to reduce the impact of farming are powerful but won’t achieve full decarbonisation by themselves. One additional venue could be carbon capture and storage.

3 – What’s next, and what should you do?
Food companies have to answer (at least) three tricky questions:

  • Timing: how to balance the efforts between short-term (solutions that can be deployed now, from regenerative agriculture to a switch to a more plant-based portfolio) and long-term ones?
  • Balance between all these innovations: all seem essential, but which should be prioritised, and how should they be approached? (from collaboration to investment to acquisition).
  • Collaboration vs. competition: is this a space for cooperation with competitors (as shown with the methane example mentioned above) or a new space of competition? Indeed, is achieving its emission reduction a marketing differentiator for companies or something they should address together to face the regulator?

As you can imagine, there is not a one-size-fits-all answer. DigitalFoodLab can help you explore this space and set up a strategy for decarbonisation; contact us!

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Use case: project for a global F&B company looking to map its AgTech innovation ecosystem and the best startups to partner with

What we did:

  • Mapping of the AgTech ecosystem: startups, research regulators, and other leading companies.
  • Discussion to select areas to focus on.
  • Analysis of the information to reveal the trends and a model to analyse eventual partners.
  • A workshop to validate the opportunities based on our recommendations.
  • Scouting of relevant partners followed by introductions.

Results:

  • Mapping the different categories of innovations in AgTech that should be considered now to create long-term benefits for the business.
  • Identification of key partners (an incubator and a couple of startups).

Use case: project for a CPG company on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we did:

  • Education of the board through a couple of workshops to define the perimeter
  • Identification of key opportunities and threats created by long-term evolutions (technologies, business models, behavioural changes).
  • Deep dives on each of the priority categories.
  • Co-construction of a vision on how the company should address these challenges.
  • Identification of partners (startups, incubators, funds) to move forward.

Results:

  • Creating a consensus on which categories to prioritise and how to address them.
  • Implementation of an open innovation strategy through the development of partnerships.

Use case: project for a global CPG company to develop a strategy on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we do (ongoing mission on a subscription model):

  • Kick-off where we present an overview of the AgriFoodTech ecosystem to select with the client the categories to cover and for each, the level of information required.
  • Monthly newsletter: each month we send a newsletter with the articles that we have gathered ranked by relevance, their summaries, and a layer of analysis.
  • Database: we set up a personalised database that will be filled month after month with the information gathered on the companies identified for the watch.
  • Workshops: twice a year with the client’s innovation team and other “innovation curious” team members, we present an overview of the evolutions, key trends and a dashboard of the topics followed by the watch.

Results:

  • A clear, regular and evolutive tool to follow what is happening in terms of innovation on key topics.
  • A forum (through the workshops) to discuss innovation trends and new opportunities.

Use case: opportunity screening for an ingredient company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the ecosystem studied.
  • Mapping of the different trends shaping the innovation ecosystem of the client.
  • Analysis of the trends on DigitalFoodLab’s trend curve and other relevant frameworks.
  • Workshop to discuss DigitalFoodLab’s recommendations on key trends to prioritise

Results:

  • Shared view of the innovation ecosystem for the client with a view of the trends to prioritize.
  • Clear document (personalised trend curve) that can be easily shared internaly to explain the company’s innovation choices and which can be then updated each year.

Use case: scouting for an agriculture coop

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the client, the goals of the scouting (partnerships) and the criteria on which startups should be evaluated.
  • Set-up scouting: we selected the first batch of 20+ key startups following the criteria of the client.
  • On-going scouting: then we set up a quarterly scouting of about ten startups.
  • For each scouted startup, we created an ID card with key information such as the business and technological maturity, funding, and corporate partnerships. We also added an explanation of why we selected this startup.

Results:

  • An ongoing and evolutive scouting are matching the client's criteria and its capabilities in terms of deal flow.

Use case: working on an acquisition process for a CPG company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define what the client is seeking, notably in terms of maturity.
  • Workshop with the client based on a mapping of the different innovation ecosystems adjacent to its activities to select some priorities and discuss inspiring examples of startup acquisition stories.
  • Identification of 20+ targets.
  • Workshop to select the most relevant to engage with.
  • DigitalFoodLab worked as a sparing partner during the acquisition process, notably to help design how the acquired startup could be integrated into the overall company’s strategy.

Results:

  • Different results from traditional M&A processes with a focus on the client’s innovation strategy.
  • Identification of a good match for an acquisition.

Use case: market due diligence on sugar alternatives

What we did:

  • Kick-off with the client to discuss its interest on this category, its expectations and existing level of information (notably on the target company).
  • Mapping of the ecosystem to analyse the different existing alternatives and technologies to compare them.
  • Interview (calls) with relevant startups made by our internal biotechnology expert.
  • Recommendation on whether to invest or not.

Results:

  • Clear view of the ecosystem and of the reasons to believe (or not) in each sub-category.
  • Enforceable recommendations based on facts and expertise.