The future of the restaurant

Published on June 15, 2021

All over Europe, restaurants are finally fully reopening. After a year of stop and go, of openings and lockdowns, it is only fair to take some time to think about the future of the foodservice industry as a whole. While the pandemic has (mostly) only accelerated trends already starting in many ecosystems, its impact may be even more significant on the hospitality industry. We have talked with many entrepreneurs and foodservice corporations in the past weeks, and here are our top 3 scenarios for the future of the restaurant.

1- The digital restaurant

Making the restaurant more digital has been a recurring subject for the past decade. Step after step, new technologies, notably around payment, entered the area but at quite a low pace. Now the foodservice industry is ready for much faster digital disruption:

  • Beyond Covid, the coming IPO of Toast (the biggest ePOS (payment systems) startup) with a rumoured $20B valuation could be the “Beyond Meat effet” (when the meat alternative startup made its IPO in 2019, it triggered bigger investments in the area, partnerships with large corporations and the creation of new startups in the area).
  • We are observing a surge in the number of large early stage, with investors betting on a new generation of owners who will want digital tools to pilot their business. Sunday, a French pay-at-table app recently raised a record $24M seed.

Beyond payment, many fields of digitisation remain to be explored in the restaurant industry, notably around sustainability (with startups such as Klimato).

2- A new supply chain

The foodservice industry goes far beyond what happens in the restaurant itself. It also includes its supply chain. This part of the industry is still a pen-and-payer one. A (very) large number of startups are disrupting this space:

Even if what is happening is impressive, it could go beyond. As we often mention here, something extraordinary is happening on the consumer side, with startups raising billions in a few months to shake up the grocery industry (with a whole range of solutions from dark stores to farm-to-home to Instacart-inspired solutions). What if some of these startups diverted some or all of their focus toward the foodservice industry? That could very well happen as we can doubt that there is a space big enough for all of them on the consumer side.

3- Food automation

Robotics has a great role to play in the foodservice industry has robots can replace some of the most demanding jobs, from cooking (with startups such as Miso Robotics) to delivery (with drones such as Manna). We could very well imagine a future where most of the process of preparing food in a restaurant would be automatised from ordering to delivery.

Recently, Yum brands (KFC, Pizza Hut) acquired Dragontail, a startup that optimises the kitchen and delivery with its algorithms. Both had previously launched a pilot of pizza deliveries with drones in Israel.

These are obviously summaries of more detailed scenarios. However, as we often say in this newsletter, anticipating the future is not about making long-term predictions (somewhat silly). It is something that we often work on with our clients, and it is only a part of a larger process to:

  • understand the surrounding ecosystem of innovation and its implications
  • anticipate what may come and assess how prepared we are to face potential challenges and opportunities
  • act now to get the insurance that we will be ready for what may come

You want to know more about the future of restaurants or what the future of your industry may look like? Contact-us!

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Use case: project for a global F&B company looking to map its AgTech innovation ecosystem and the best startups to partner with

What we did:

  • Mapping of the AgTech ecosystem: startups, research regulators, and other leading companies.
  • Discussion to select areas to focus on.
  • Analysis of the information to reveal the trends and a model to analyse eventual partners.
  • A workshop to validate the opportunities based on our recommendations.
  • Scouting of relevant partners followed by introductions.

Results:

  • Mapping the different categories of innovations in AgTech that should be considered now to create long-term benefits for the business.
  • Identification of key partners (an incubator and a couple of startups).

Use case: project for a CPG company on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we did:

  • Education of the board through a couple of workshops to define the perimeter
  • Identification of key opportunities and threats created by long-term evolutions (technologies, business models, behavioural changes).
  • Deep dives on each of the priority categories.
  • Co-construction of a vision on how the company should address these challenges.
  • Identification of partners (startups, incubators, funds) to move forward.

Results:

  • Creating a consensus on which categories to prioritise and how to address them.
  • Implementation of an open innovation strategy through the development of partnerships.

Use case: project for a global CPG company to develop a strategy on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we do (ongoing mission on a subscription model):

  • Kick-off where we present an overview of the AgriFoodTech ecosystem to select with the client the categories to cover and for each, the level of information required.
  • Monthly newsletter: each month we send a newsletter with the articles that we have gathered ranked by relevance, their summaries, and a layer of analysis.
  • Database: we set up a personalised database that will be filled month after month with the information gathered on the companies identified for the watch.
  • Workshops: twice a year with the client’s innovation team and other “innovation curious” team members, we present an overview of the evolutions, key trends and a dashboard of the topics followed by the watch.

Results:

  • A clear, regular and evolutive tool to follow what is happening in terms of innovation on key topics.
  • A forum (through the workshops) to discuss innovation trends and new opportunities.

Use case: opportunity screening for an ingredient company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the ecosystem studied.
  • Mapping of the different trends shaping the innovation ecosystem of the client.
  • Analysis of the trends on DigitalFoodLab’s trend curve and other relevant frameworks.
  • Workshop to discuss DigitalFoodLab’s recommendations on key trends to prioritise

Results:

  • Shared view of the innovation ecosystem for the client with a view of the trends to prioritize.
  • Clear document (personalised trend curve) that can be easily shared internaly to explain the company’s innovation choices and which can be then updated each year.

Use case: scouting for an agriculture coop

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the client, the goals of the scouting (partnerships) and the criteria on which startups should be evaluated.
  • Set-up scouting: we selected the first batch of 20+ key startups following the criteria of the client.
  • On-going scouting: then we set up a quarterly scouting of about ten startups.
  • For each scouted startup, we created an ID card with key information such as the business and technological maturity, funding, and corporate partnerships. We also added an explanation of why we selected this startup.

Results:

  • An ongoing and evolutive scouting are matching the client's criteria and its capabilities in terms of deal flow.

Use case: working on an acquisition process for a CPG company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define what the client is seeking, notably in terms of maturity.
  • Workshop with the client based on a mapping of the different innovation ecosystems adjacent to its activities to select some priorities and discuss inspiring examples of startup acquisition stories.
  • Identification of 20+ targets.
  • Workshop to select the most relevant to engage with.
  • DigitalFoodLab worked as a sparing partner during the acquisition process, notably to help design how the acquired startup could be integrated into the overall company’s strategy.

Results:

  • Different results from traditional M&A processes with a focus on the client’s innovation strategy.
  • Identification of a good match for an acquisition.

Use case: market due diligence on sugar alternatives

What we did:

  • Kick-off with the client to discuss its interest on this category, its expectations and existing level of information (notably on the target company).
  • Mapping of the ecosystem to analyse the different existing alternatives and technologies to compare them.
  • Interview (calls) with relevant startups made by our internal biotechnology expert.
  • Recommendation on whether to invest or not.

Results:

  • Clear view of the ecosystem and of the reasons to believe (or not) in each sub-category.
  • Enforceable recommendations based on facts and expertise.