AgTech trends in 2025: the resilient farm and its future

Published on February 4, 2025

Today, we‘ll focus on resilient farming, one of the most active “megatrends” identified in our recently published report on the trends shaping the future of food. Also, if you want to know more, you can register for our upcoming webinar on the trends and the perspective for the innovation ecosystem on the 13th of February. You can register for free here (and please share this link with your colleagues!)

So, let’s start with the name: why are we talking about resilient farming and not AgTech? Indeed, we are gathering most of the innovations in the upstream part of the value chain under this umbrella. Our reasoning is quite simple: our goal is not to focus on technologies or what startups are doing but rather to identify trends which will have an impact on the future of food (and here, more specifically, on how food is being produced). Resilient farming refers to a clear set of goals by increasing the resilience of our food production to face four challenges:

  • Mitigation: being prepared to face increasingly volatile and extreme climate conditions (heatwaves, droughts, etc.).
  • Automation: facing an ageing population and a more limited availability of migrant workforce.
  • Sustainability transition: improving the sustainability of farming by decreasing the amount of chemical inputs used and reducing the impact of livestock (methane emissions).
  • Financing the three challenges above, combined with the need to finance productivity and digitisation efforts in developing countries, will also support the establishment of a new generation of farmers in rich countries.

As you can see in DigitalFoodLab’s trends curve below, we have mapped eight trends for 2025, with two additions compared to last year. Before diving into them, caution is needed as the positioning of the trends are averages in terms of geographies, technologies, and applications (each could be split into multiple sub-segments). In a word, if you want a company-focused view of the trends that will impact your future, this one is a good start. However, for any decision-making, you should definitely give us a call!

We can split the resilient farm ecosystem into two categories:

Short-term: augmented farming: making the current farm more intelligent and automated (precision farming, farm robotics, indoor farming).

🔎 Precision Farming is doing quite well, with still waves of innovations emerging from startups and legacy players to help increase how efficiently farms are managed.

🚜 Farm robotics is a recovering ecosystem doing much better than a few years ago. There have been multiple acquisitions while many players have demonstrated the reliability and value of their approach (and are now reaching significant revenue levels). It remains a mostly North American ecosystem.

🥬 Indoor farming is in the pit of despair, as most startups have failed in recent years. In most instances, the model of producing leafy greens using costly installations and a lot of energy near the place of consumption seems doomed in the short term. However, the same technologies used to produce higher-value crops, such as strawberries or vanilla, are much more relevant.

Medium to long-term: sustainable farming: creating the conditions to reduce the impact of agriculture on the environment and to resist the shocks produced by climate change through practices such as regenerative agriculture and new technologies.

🪳 Insect farming is also doing poorly. Recent news of Ynsect and Agronutris (French startups) facing insolvency are not helping. Others are doing better (InnovaFeed or Tebrio, which is starting the construction of a large-scale facility in Spain), showing that there is potential for those who have found the right combination of insect and production technology.

💰Regenerative agriculture financing: while the space of carbon credits dedicated to farming is not new, we added it to our list of “main trends” this year due to the rising number of players and the growing implication of banks and leading food companies.

🧪 BioInputs: developing alternatives to chemical inputs is one of the hottest AgriFoodTech ecosystems. Given the limited appetite for additional regulation, it is hard to imagine in the short term how substituting existing products for the solutions being developed will be financially possible at scale.

🐮 Sustainable livestock: in this new trend, we gather all the solutions to reduce the impact of animal farming, notably methane blockers (feed supplements and vaccines to limit the release of methane ruminants through their burps).

🌽 Future crops, which are being developed to increase resiliency, are still a slowly moving ecosystem, notably due to regulation.

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Use case: project for a global F&B company looking to map its AgTech innovation ecosystem and the best startups to partner with

What we did:

  • Mapping of the AgTech ecosystem: startups, research regulators, and other leading companies.
  • Discussion to select areas to focus on.
  • Analysis of the information to reveal the trends and a model to analyse eventual partners.
  • A workshop to validate the opportunities based on our recommendations.
  • Scouting of relevant partners followed by introductions.

Results:

  • Mapping the different categories of innovations in AgTech that should be considered now to create long-term benefits for the business.
  • Identification of key partners (an incubator and a couple of startups).

Use case: project for a CPG company on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we did:

  • Education of the board through a couple of workshops to define the perimeter
  • Identification of key opportunities and threats created by long-term evolutions (technologies, business models, behavioural changes).
  • Deep dives on each of the priority categories.
  • Co-construction of a vision on how the company should address these challenges.
  • Identification of partners (startups, incubators, funds) to move forward.

Results:

  • Creating a consensus on which categories to prioritise and how to address them.
  • Implementation of an open innovation strategy through the development of partnerships.

Use case: project for a global CPG company to develop a strategy on the healthy ageing ecosystem

What we do (ongoing mission on a subscription model):

  • Kick-off where we present an overview of the AgriFoodTech ecosystem to select with the client the categories to cover and for each, the level of information required.
  • Monthly newsletter: each month we send a newsletter with the articles that we have gathered ranked by relevance, their summaries, and a layer of analysis.
  • Database: we set up a personalised database that will be filled month after month with the information gathered on the companies identified for the watch.
  • Workshops: twice a year with the client’s innovation team and other “innovation curious” team members, we present an overview of the evolutions, key trends and a dashboard of the topics followed by the watch.

Results:

  • A clear, regular and evolutive tool to follow what is happening in terms of innovation on key topics.
  • A forum (through the workshops) to discuss innovation trends and new opportunities.

Use case: opportunity screening for an ingredient company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the ecosystem studied.
  • Mapping of the different trends shaping the innovation ecosystem of the client.
  • Analysis of the trends on DigitalFoodLab’s trend curve and other relevant frameworks.
  • Workshop to discuss DigitalFoodLab’s recommendations on key trends to prioritise

Results:

  • Shared view of the innovation ecosystem for the client with a view of the trends to prioritize.
  • Clear document (personalised trend curve) that can be easily shared internaly to explain the company’s innovation choices and which can be then updated each year.

Use case: scouting for an agriculture coop

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define the perimeter of the client, the goals of the scouting (partnerships) and the criteria on which startups should be evaluated.
  • Set-up scouting: we selected the first batch of 20+ key startups following the criteria of the client.
  • On-going scouting: then we set up a quarterly scouting of about ten startups.
  • For each scouted startup, we created an ID card with key information such as the business and technological maturity, funding, and corporate partnerships. We also added an explanation of why we selected this startup.

Results:

  • An ongoing and evolutive scouting are matching the client's criteria and its capabilities in terms of deal flow.

Use case: working on an acquisition process for a CPG company

What we did:

  • Kick-off to define what the client is seeking, notably in terms of maturity.
  • Workshop with the client based on a mapping of the different innovation ecosystems adjacent to its activities to select some priorities and discuss inspiring examples of startup acquisition stories.
  • Identification of 20+ targets.
  • Workshop to select the most relevant to engage with.
  • DigitalFoodLab worked as a sparing partner during the acquisition process, notably to help design how the acquired startup could be integrated into the overall company’s strategy.

Results:

  • Different results from traditional M&A processes with a focus on the client’s innovation strategy.
  • Identification of a good match for an acquisition.

Use case: market due diligence on sugar alternatives

What we did:

  • Kick-off with the client to discuss its interest on this category, its expectations and existing level of information (notably on the target company).
  • Mapping of the ecosystem to analyse the different existing alternatives and technologies to compare them.
  • Interview (calls) with relevant startups made by our internal biotechnology expert.
  • Recommendation on whether to invest or not.

Results:

  • Clear view of the ecosystem and of the reasons to believe (or not) in each sub-category.
  • Enforceable recommendations based on facts and expertise.